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The hook

The 50% output ambition after demerger

Vedanta Oil and Gas, India's largest private-sector exploration and production firm, already contributes about a quarter of domestic crude. Management targets lifting that to 50% of India's domestic crude output.

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Context

A five-way demerger made VOGL standalone

NCLT sanctioned the split on December 16, 2025. It became effective May 1, 2026, and VOGL shares listed on BSE and NSE on June 15, 2026. Shareholders received one share in each of four new entities.

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Context

VOGL got a lighter debt load

Parent Vedanta carried gross debt above ₹73,800 crore and net debt near ₹57,358 crore before the split. Estimates indicate VOGL assumed only 6–10% of parent standalone net debt, roughly $1.0–1.2 billion, preserving headroom for costly recovery projects.

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The story

Output is sliding at mature fields

Working interest sales volume dropped from 82.5 kboepd to 67.3 kboepd in FY25, a negative EBITDA impact of ₹1,130 crore. Gross operated production fell 19% year-over-year, and Q1 FY26 slipped further to 77.7 kboepd.

Working interest sales volume (kboepd)
82.5FY2467.3FY25
As reported
4/10
The story

Chemical floods recover trapped oil

Mangala runs the world's largest full-field polymer flood, adding about 100 million stock tank barrels. An ASP pilot lifted oil cut from 8% to 70–80% within 3–4 weeks, targeting a 60% ultimate recovery factor versus 40% for polymer alone.

Ultimate recovery factor target (%)
40Polymer60ASP
VOGL projection
5/10
The story

OALP shift finds early success at Jaya

VOGL operates 39 OALP blocks and five discovered small field blocks. The Jaya discovery in Gujarat's Cambay Basin became the first field development plan submitted under OALP, lifting Cambay output 21% quarter-on-quarter.

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By the numbers

Proven reserves contracted 30%

30%2P reserve contraction

Viceroy Research estimates VOGL spent about ₹4,230 crore on exploration since FY21, below the annual $200–300 million needed to replace Rajasthan declines. 2P reserves fell from 569 mmboe in FY22 to 399 mmboe in FY25.

Proven and probable reserves (mmboe)
569FY22399FY25
As reported
7/10
What it means

Ravva cash, CB/OS-2 block loss

Delhi High Court enforced Ravva arbitration awards worth up to $454 million in July 2026. Separately, a bench upheld denial of a 10-year CB/OS-2 extension, citing the Public Trust Doctrine and allowing ONGC to take over operations.

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What it means

ESG becomes non-negotiable for expansion

VOGL targets net-zero carbon operations by 2050 and is solarizing the 705-km Mangala pipeline across 36 installations. Protests in Tamil Nadu's Cauvery delta show how local opposition can block onshore exploration.

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Read on

The 50% target is now the test

Post-demerger, Vedanta Oil and Gas must scale ASP flooding, prove OALP discoveries like Jaya, and manage legal risk. Read the full deep dive for the detailed financial, reservoir, and regulatory evidence behind that ambition.

Read the full analysis →
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