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The hook

A 604% profit surge keeps triggering upper circuits

Modison Ltd. has repeatedly locked at exchange-imposed upper circuits as Q1 FY27 net profit jumped 604% year-on-year. The thinly traded stock climbed from below ₹200 to above ₹450 on sustained unfilled demand.

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Context

It makes contacts inside switchgear

Modison is a small capital goods company making silver-cadmium oxide and copper-chromium electrical contacts. It claims roughly 80% share in India’s high-voltage contacts and around 30% in low-voltage contacts, supplying ABB, Siemens, Schneider Electric, Eaton and BHEL.

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Context

Thin free float makes upper circuits likelier

Promoters hold 52.23%, retail investors hold 46.85%, DIIs 0.00%, and FIIs just 0.92%. When buying meets scarce sellers, circuit filters can freeze trading, leaving unfilled buy queues.

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The story

Revenue jumped from ₹130 crore to ₹287 crore

Q4 FY26 revenue hit ₹287.32 crore, up 120.8% year-on-year from ₹130 crore. Net profit rose 277.7% to ₹36.00 crore. Q1 FY27 revenue came in at ₹270.47 crore, up 101.6%.

Revenue (₹ crore)
134Q1 FY26287Q4 FY26270Q1 FY27
Consolidated, as reported
4/10
The story

Silver pass-through unlocks fatter margins

Silver is about two-thirds of raw material cost and once caused sharp profit swings. Modison now fixes or passes through silver prices with clients, helping EBITDA margin climb from 6.38% in Q1 FY26 to 18.52% in Q1 FY27.

EBITDA margin (%)
6.38Q1 FY2624.8Q4 FY2618.5Q1 FY27
Consolidated, as reported
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The story

Grid capex supercycle feeds demand

PGCIL raised FY26 capex guidance to ₹35,000 crore and had already spent ₹35,540 crore by late March. FY27 and FY28 are projected at ₹37,000 crore and ₹45,000 crore, driving demand for switchgear contacts.

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By the numbers

One number explains the circuit freeze

604%Q1 FY27 net profit growth

Q1 FY27 net profit hit ₹33.84 crore, up from ₹4.80 crore a year earlier. That 604% leap is the defining number behind the stock's upper circuits.

Net profit (₹ crore)
4.8Q1 FY2636Q4 FY2633.8Q1 FY27
Consolidated, as reported
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What it means

A fundamental rerating, not just speculation

The report argues this is a repricing of a highly profitable niche manufacturer: ROE of 29.57%–32.0%, ROCE of 28.76%–31.0%, and a PEG ratio of 0.07–0.10, far below 1.0.

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What it means

Illiquidity and customer concentration cut both ways

Top five customers account for 40–45% of income. Working capital tied up in silver is heavy, and the same thin order book that drives upper circuits can trap investors in lower circuits if sentiment reverses.

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Read on

Read the full deep dive for detail

This deck covers the bull case and the risks. The full article adds detail on governance, credit ratings, shareholding patterns and valuation. Use it before forming any view.

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